Politics
Shadows Over the Ballot Box: Election Integrity Fears Rise Ahead of 2026 Midterms
WASHINGTON, D.C. – As the last balloons from the 2024 presidential election are swept away and President Donald Trump settles into his second term, old anxieties are rushing back to center stage. The memory of past election fights hangs over Washington like a storm cloud.
With the 2026 midterm election less than a year away, talk of fraud, federal pressure, and voting machine problems has grown louder, pushing policy debates on tariffs, immigration, and the economy into the background. This time, many leaders say the stakes feel almost existential, not only for control of Congress, but for public confidence in American democracy itself.
On November 3, 2026, all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats will be on the ballot. Republicans hold a narrow 219-213 edge in the House and a more comfortable 53-47 majority in the Senate. History tilts against the party in power. Since World War II, the president’s party has lost House seats in all but two midterm elections.
Researchers at the Brookings Institution and political scientists at LSE are already warning Republicans about major losses. Some models project a net loss of up to 28 House seats for the GOP, enough to hand Democrats the gavel and choke off much of Trump’s agenda. Underneath those forecasts sits a more troubling story, a growing wave of election integrity battles that could turn 2026 into a drawn-out legal and political fight.
From Trump’s muscular use of executive power to a new surge in voter ID laws and the ongoing suspicion aimed at Dominion voting machines, many experts see the 2026 cycle becoming less about policy and more about whether the election process itself can be trusted.
“We’re heading toward an election where trust is in short supply,” says Derek Tisler, counsel at the Brennan Center for Justice. “And the current administration keeps reaching for tools that chip away at it.”
Trump’s Shadow War: Federal Muscle on State Election Systems
No single figure looms over the 2026 midterms more than Trump. His return to the Oval Office has fueled a sweeping federal push against what the White House calls election weaknesses. In March 2025, Trump signed an executive order instructing Attorney General Pam Bondi to apply “election integrity laws” with far greater force. The order included demands for detailed voter roll data from at least 19 states.
The Justice Department’s Civil Rights Division, now led by longtime Trump ally Harmeet Dhillon, has followed through with a wave of subpoenas. The department has demanded registration records from Democratic strongholds such as California and New Jersey, pointing to supposed noncitizen voting. Courts and researchers have repeatedly rejected those claims as exaggerated or false, but the investigations continue.
Critics call the effort political pressure dressed up as oversight. Maine Secretary of State Shenna Bellows, a Democrat now running for governor, says the administration is targeting those who run elections instead of protecting the people who vote.
“The federal government is going after election officials, not guarding voters,” Bellows told Politico. “We know how to run secure elections, but that works only if states stay in charge.”
Her warning mirrors a broader concern among those on the front lines. A 2025 survey from the Brennan Center reported that 59% of local election officials fear political interference. About 21% said they are unlikely to stay in their jobs through 2026 because of threats, stress, or plans to leave.
New appointees in key posts have deepened those worries. Heather Honey, a Pennsylvania activist who spread false claims of fraud after the 2020 election, is now deputy assistant secretary for election integrity at the Department of Homeland Security. Marci McCarthy, the former DeKalb County, Georgia, GOP chair who filed suit over alleged voting machine problems, now serves as a spokesperson for CISA, the cybersecurity agency once seen as a firewall against foreign election meddling.
Axios reported in June 2025 that about one-third of the U.S. cyber workforce has left federal service since Trump returned to office. That loss of talent has hollowed out defenses just as Russian and Chinese hackers probe for fresh vulnerabilities.
Trump’s decision to pardon Rudy Giuliani and other 2020 election deniers also sends a strong signal. Many analysts read it as a green light for those same figures to move into roles as poll watchers and election challengers in 2026.
In October 2025, DOJ observers appeared at special elections in California and New Jersey. Governor Gavin Newsom blasted the move as a “preview of 2026,” calling it a trial run for efforts to contest Democratic wins in newly drawn districts, including those reshaped under California’s Proposition 50.
Samantha Tarazi of the Voting Rights Lab warns that the country could face what she calls a full-scale federal effort to control the process, from overhauling citizenship databases to positioning National Guard units in precincts labeled as “disputed.” Minnesota Secretary of State Steve Simon compares the level of preparation needed for emergency planning for a major hurricane.
Supporters of the administration’s approach tell a different story. White House spokesman Harrison Fields calls the steps “commonsense safeguards” that strengthen confidence. Yet Trump’s August 2025 promise to “end mail-in ballots” through executive action, blocked so far by the courts, blurs the line between protection and suppression.
One Republican strategist, speaking anonymously to CNN, put it this way: “This is about winning, not whining, but voters might turn on us if the whole thing looks like sour grapes.”
Voter ID’s Big Moment: Security Measure or Turnout Trap?
While the federal government escalates its actions, many states are tightening voter ID rules that could shape who actually casts a ballot in 2026. By August 2025, 36 states had some form of voter ID requirement for in-person voting, up from 28 in 2020.
Since then, eight states have passed new laws: Arkansas, Idaho, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Carolina, Ohio, and Wyoming. Together, those changes affect about 29 million adults. The impact will be felt especially in battleground states such as North Carolina, where a 2023 law requiring photo ID took effect in 2024.
Supporters celebrate these measures as common-sense guardrails against fraud. “Clean voter rolls and basic safeguards are key to fair elections,” Dhillon said in a statement in July 2025. Louisiana passed a 2024 law that took effect in January 2025 and now requires proof of citizenship documents to complete state registration forms, a standard that lawmakers in 47 other states echoed in bills introduced in 2025. Nebraska’s LB 514 law forces mail-in voters who lack a state ID to send in copies of photo identification, a step that can be hard for older and rural voters.
The evidence of large-scale fraud remains thin. A June 2024 Brennan Center report estimated that about 21.3 million eligible voters, or 9%, lack easy access to citizenship documents. The study found that these burdens fall more heavily on voters of color and low-income communities.
Scholars at Harvard calculated that the cost of gathering the paperwork often exceeds $12 per person, roughly the same as the poll tax banned by the 24th Amendment and civil rights laws in the 1960s.
At the same time, recent elections complicate the narrative. In 2024, Kamala Harris carried six states that require voter ID, undercutting blanket claims that such laws always favor Republicans. Reuters fact checks have pointed out that ID rules can cut both ways, depending on how they are written and enforced.
Looking ahead to 2026, the federal SAVE Act hangs in the background. The House passed the bill in July 2024, but it stalled in the Senate. The proposal would require Real ID-level proof of citizenship for voter registration in federal elections. With Trump’s Justice Department carrying out its own citizenship checks and investigations, Democrats warn of what Tarazi calls a “death by a thousand cuts” approach that slowly narrows the electorate.
Mindy Romero of USC says the impact of these laws goes beyond who has an ID card. She points to longer lines at polling places, more provisional ballots that may not be counted, and lower turnout in busy urban precincts. Even small shifts in participation could decide tight races, from a Pennsylvania Senate contest to close House districts in Virginia.
Yet not all the data cuts against these laws. In North Carolina, the photo ID requirement survived court challenges and now appears to have boosted Republican votes in lower-turnout elections, according to figures compiled by NCSL. And with about 98% of votes in 2024 backed by paper records, proponents say ID rules paired with audits can strengthen confidence among skeptical voters.
Dominion’s Ghost: Machines, Myths, and a High-Profile Makeover
No brand name in voting technology stirs more emotion than Dominion Voting Systems. The company, founded in Canada, provided machines in 27 states in 2024 and counted billions of ballots without any confirmed evidence of fraud. Even so, false claims from 2020 that Dominion machines “flipped” votes from Trump to Biden have lived on in political circles and online.
Those conspiracy theories carried a real price. In 2023, Fox News agreed to pay Dominion $787 million to settle a defamation suit over false statements about the company. Newsmax followed in August 2025, settling for $67 million.
The story took a new turn in October 2025, when Dominion was sold to Liberty Vote, a company led by former Missouri Republican official Scott Leiendecker of KnowInk. Liberty has promised a “top-to-bottom review” of existing equipment and pledged to “rebuild or retire” any hardware seen as vulnerable before the midterms.
In Colorado, where Dominion is headquartered and serves 60 counties, several local officials welcomed the change. Boulder County Clerk Molly Fitzpatrick called the sale an opportunity to reset public perception. “These are the same machines, but people may feel different with a new company name,” she said.
Doubts remain strong in other places. Georgia has continued to use Dominion machines that have not received full software updates since 2023, when researcher J. Alex Halderman showed in court filings how someone with access could alter votes using tools as simple as a USB drive. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger has dismissed those scenarios as “theoretical,” but the real-world breach in Coffee County in 2021, where Trump allies gained unauthorized access to voting systems, showed that physical security can fail.
Michigan had its own headache in October 2024. A glitch with the VAT system there forced voters who chose a straight-party ticket to manually re-select certain candidates. The issue did not alter vote totals, but the confusing experience fueled viral rumors of “vote switching,” even after officials explained that the problem involved the ballot interface, not the count.
Elon Musk and a wave of MAGA-aligned influencers intensified those worries on X, calling for state officials to ditch Dominion and similar systems outright. They pushed those demands even though about 98% of ballots now generate a paper record that independent audits can review. In Puerto Rico, reports of machine problems sparked a formal review of contracts with voting vendors.
For 2026, Liberty Vote’s leadership and Republican roots create a complicated picture. Some conservatives say it helps them trust the machines more. Many Democrats argue the opposite and see the sale as a partisan takeover. As one NPR analysis put it, marketing changes cannot erase conspiracy theories when layers of audits have already confirmed accurate results.
Midterm Outlook: House on a Knife Edge, Senate Less Likely to Flip
Early forecasts lean toward a Democratic gain. A November 2025 YouGov poll gave Democrats a 46% to 40% lead on the generic House ballot, with 41% of respondents saying they expect Democrats to win a House majority. Economic models published by The Conversation project that slowing growth, which many voters blame on Republican policy, could cost the GOP about 28 House seats.
Political scientists Tien and Lewis-Beck at LSE reach similar conclusions. Their work ties expected Republican losses to Trump’s job approval numbers, which have dipped below 45% in most national surveys.
The Senate map looks more stubborn. Democrats defend seats in Maine and North Carolina, while Republicans are on defense in Iowa and Texas. Even a strong Democratic wave might only be enough to shift a seat or two. Simulations from Race to the WH suggest Democrats could flip the House with three or four tight wins, while the Senate likely ends in a narrow split, with either party holding a slim edge.
Plenty of wildcards could scramble these predictions. Government shutdowns, new abortion battles, or a foreign crisis could change turnout patterns and voter mood in a hurry. Redistricting lawsuits in states such as Texas and Ohio, flagged by Brookings analysts, may alter the map yet again. Trump’s comments about using the military at the border and in domestic protests hang in the background as well.
Protecting the Vote: A Shared Responsibility, Whether Washington Acts or Not
Election threats now come from many directions, from bomb threats to deepfake videos to organized harassment of poll workers. Some states have not waited for Washington to act. Colorado has made risk-limiting audits standard practice, following a model laid out in a joint Brennan Center and R Street report. These audits check a sample of ballots against machine counts to confirm accuracy.
The Election Assistance Commission’s budget for fiscal year 2026 shifts more money toward transparency tools and public-facing information, though it does not include new, large grants to states. Advocates across party lines say that is not enough.
Former Philadelphia City Commissioner Al Schmidt, a Republican, has pushed for more consistent funding and training. “If officials put in the work now, they avoid disaster later,” he says. “Waiting until something breaks is a bad plan.”
With Trump’s political machine in full swing and partisan suspicion running hot, the 2026 midterms will test how much stress the system can handle. The country heard nonstop claims in 2020 that it had just held the “most secure election” in history. The coming cycle will show whether that level of confidence can hold, or whether new fights over rules, machines, and federal power break it apart again.
As Tisler puts it, “Voters will forgive leaders who prepare. They won’t forgive leaders who freeze.” In a capital already bracing for the next storm, that may be the only outcome both parties truly fear.
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Bill Clinton’s Testimony Triggers Backlash: Bill Says “I Saw Nothing, Did Nothing Wrong
WASHINGTON, D.C. – The Jeffrey Epstein saga took another sharp turn this week after former President Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton spoke publicly about their past ties to the convicted sex offender.
Their comments followed closed-door depositions with the House Oversight Committee, and the reaction was immediate. Critics, survivors’ advocates, and political voices accused the Clintons of ducking hard questions and minimizing a well-documented association.
Lawmakers compelled the depositions by subpoena after early pushback, making the sessions a rare moment in which former top officials testified under oath in a congressional review tied to Epstein’s sex trafficking network.
Bill Clinton’s insistence that he “saw nothing” and “did nothing wrong,” paired with Hillary Clinton’s statement that she “does not recall ever encountering” Epstein, sparked a new wave of anger. Among the loudest critics, media personality Megyn Kelly called Clinton a “liar.”
The Latest Depositions: Firm Denials, Sharp Pushback
On February 27, 2026, Bill Clinton sat for nearly six hours of closed-door questioning in New York with the Republican-led House Oversight Committee. In an opening statement later shared on social media, he described Epstein as a “brief acquaintance” and said their contact ended long before Epstein’s crimes became widely known.
“I saw nothing, and I did nothing wrong,” Clinton said. “Even with 20/20 hindsight, I saw nothing that ever gave me pause.” He added that if he had known what Epstein was doing, he would have “turned him in myself.” Clinton pointed to his upbringing in a home touched by domestic abuse as part of his explanation for why he would not have ignored misconduct.
He also confirmed he flew on Epstein’s private plane multiple times for charitable work, and he said Secret Service agents were present. At the same time, he denied ever visiting Epstein’s island and said he never saw illegal behavior. Clinton also said he didn’t recognize a woman pictured with him in a jacuzzi in Justice Department files that later became public.
A day earlier, on February 26, Hillary Clinton testified for more than six hours. In her opening statement, she said, “I had no idea about their criminal activities. I do not recall ever encountering Mr. Epstein.” She repeated that she never flew on Epstein’s plane, never visited his properties, and had no involvement with him. She also criticized the committee, saying it was using the matter for partisan distractions.
Both Clintons also tried to distance themselves from Epstein’s associate, Ghislaine Maxwell. In addition, they expressed support for survivors seeking justice and healing.
Critics React: Claims of Evasion and Unbelievable Answers
Even so, the pushback has been intense. Critics argue the denials don’t square with what’s already in the public record. That record includes flight logs that show Bill Clinton on Epstein’s plane at least 26 times, plus reports of Epstein visiting the White House during Clinton’s presidency.
Megyn Kelly, a conservative commentator and journalist, has led much of the public criticism. In media appearances tied to the Epstein files and the depositions, Kelly rejected Clinton’s account. She called him a “liar” and referred to him as a “predator.” Her comments matched a broader view among detractors that Clinton’s past makes his assurances hard to trust.
Meanwhile, survivors’ advocates and online commentators said the testimonies felt dismissive. Many described the answers as evasive and inadequate for victims who have waited years for clarity.
At the same time, political analysts say the depositions widened partisan gaps. Republicans have focused on the Clintons’ connection to Epstein, while Democrats have pointed to scrutiny of other public figures with their own links to Epstein’s circle.
Bill Clinton’s Record of Controversies Involving Women
This moment also revived attention on Bill Clinton’s long history of allegations involving women, including repeated denials that later collided with new facts or admissions.
Some of the most talked-about episodes include:
- Monica Lewinsky affair (1995 to 1997): Clinton initially denied having a sexual relationship with White House intern Monica Lewinsky, saying, “I did not have sexual relations with that woman.” He later acknowledged an improper relationship under oath. The House impeached him in 1998 on perjury and obstruction charges, although the Senate acquitted him.
- Paula Jones lawsuit: In 1994, Arkansas state employee Paula Jones accused Clinton of sexual harassment tied to his time as governor. He settled the case out of court for $850,000 in 1998.
- Juanita Broaddrick’s allegation: Broaddrick said Clinton raped her in 1978. Clinton denied the claim through representatives.
- Kathleen Willey and Gennifer Flowers: Willey alleged Clinton groped her in the Oval Office. Flowers said she had a long-term affair with him. Both claims became part of the wider scrutiny during his presidency.
Because of this history, critics say Clinton has a pattern of denial followed by partial acknowledgment. As a result, they compare his old responses to his current statements about Epstein.
Where This Fits in the Wider Epstein Case
Epstein died by suicide in 2019 while he awaited trial on federal sex trafficking charges. Before his death, he built relationships with influential people across politics, business, and entertainment. Since then, document releases, including flight logs and photographs, have kept the Clintons in the headlines. Still, no evidence has surfaced that links them to criminal conduct.
The House Oversight Committee, led by Chairman James Comer (R-KY), has issued subpoenas to several people, including the Clintons. The stated goal is to map Epstein’s network and review how government agencies handled related cases. Depending on who’s speaking, the probe has been described as a “serious investigation” or a “clown show.”
Bill Clinton said he cooperated to help prevent future abuse. On the other hand, Hillary Clinton framed the process as politically driven.
The Public Response, and What Comes Next
The depositions quickly dominated news coverage, and social media seized on the Clintons’ wording. Supporters say the couple is being singled out without proof of wrongdoing. Critics say the testimonies reflect how powerful people avoid accountability.
Transcripts and video from the depositions are expected to come out, and the argument is likely to grow louder once they do. For many Americans, the latest chapter keeps the same questions alive: who knew what, who looked away, and why it took so long to get answers tied to Jeffrey Epstein’s crimes.
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Calls Mount to Expel Rep. Ilhan Omar from Congress
WASHINGTON, D.C. – After President Donald Trump’s State of the Union speech on February 24, 2026, some Republican lawmakers and conservative voices have renewed calls to expel Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) from Congress.
The push follows Ilhan Omar’s loud interruptions during the address, which critics say crossed a line and disrespected the chamber. Omar and her supporters, however, say the outbursts were a form of protest against policies they believe cause real harm.
The night’s clash has reopened a familiar fight in Washington: how far can protest go inside Congress before it becomes misconduct? At the same time, it has added fresh fuel to an already tense and divided House.
What Happened During the State of the Union?
Trump’s speech to a joint session of Congress included sharp moments, especially when he turned to immigration and border security. During key parts of the address, Omar and Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) shouted objections from the floor. Eyewitnesses and video clips show Omar yelling words such as “liar” and “murderer” as Trump discussed immigration enforcement and referenced incidents involving Somali-American communities in Minnesota.
- When Omar interrupted, the loudest moments came as Trump spoke about alleged fraud tied to Somali immigrants and about deaths involving federal agents. Later, Omar said she spoke up to point out what she views as the administration’s role in the deaths of two constituents.
- Omar’s guest was removed and arrested: The situation escalated when Omar’s guest, Aliya Rahman, was arrested by U.S. Capitol Police after standing during the address. Police cited “unlawful conduct” and disruption, and they said guests are told that demonstrations are not allowed. Reports also say Rahman is autistic and has shoulder injuries, and that officers warned her before removing her.
- Trump answered in the moment: Trump paused and criticized the heckling, calling Democrats “crazy.” He also aimed a direct remark at Omar, telling her, “You should be ashamed.”
In a post-speech interview on CNN with Wolf Blitzer, Omar said she didn’t regret what happened. “I do not [have regrets], and I think many people look at that moment when the president says, ‘It is our responsibility to protect Americans,’ and he does not acknowledge the fact that two Americans… were killed,” she said. Omar framed her interruptions as a reminder that policy choices can have life-and-death effects.
Backlash Builds, With Fresh Demands for Expulsion
The interruptions drew quick condemnation from Republicans and conservative media. The next day, Trump posted at length on TruthSocial, attacking Omar and Tlaib as “Low IQ” and calling them “crooked and corrupt politicians.” He also suggested they should be sent “back from where they came, as fast as possible,” echoing earlier remarks that have brought him criticism.
Because Omar is a U.S. citizen, deportation is not a legal option. Still, the comments helped drive online talk about other punishments, including censure or even expulsion.
- Republicans call for action: Several House Republicans backed some form of discipline. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), for example, posted that Omar’s conduct embarrassed Congress and argued for expulsion to restore order.
- Conservative media turns up the volume: Fox News and prominent social media accounts pushed the story. Commentator Trish Regan shared a Facebook post about “new calls” to censure Omar and Tlaib after the State of the Union clash. In the replies, some commenters went further and asked for expulsion.
- Public reaction splits fast: Videos of the incident spread on YouTube and other platforms, drawing angry comments demanding Omar’s removal. Meanwhile, supporters defended her right to object, saying political speech should not be punished simply because it’s uncomfortable.
Expulsion is difficult. It takes a two-thirds vote in the House, and Congress has used it only five times in U.S. history, usually for severe misconduct such as treason or corruption. Critics of the expulsion push say Omar’s behavior may have been disruptive, but it doesn’t meet that standard. They also warn that it could create a new way to silence opponents.
Omar’s Earlier Controversies and Long-Running Claims of Anti-Semitism
Omar has faced removal talk before. Since entering Congress in 2018, she has drawn intense scrutiny, including repeated accusations of anti-Semitism tied to comments about Israel and pro-Israel lobbying. In 2019, her remarks triggered bipartisan criticism and helped lead to a House resolution condemning hate.
- 2019 tweets: Omar’s “all about the Benjamins” phrase and comments about dual loyalties brought claims that she used anti-Semitic stereotypes. She apologized, while also saying she still wanted to criticize Israeli policy.
- 2021 comments: Omar compared the U.S. and Israel to Hamas and the Taliban, which prompted backlash, including criticism from Democratic leaders.
- A debate that never stops: Allies describe Omar as outspoken on progressive causes, including Palestinian rights. Opponents say her statements cross into anti-Semitism. Groups such as the Anti-Defamation League have called for accountability, though past efforts to remove her have not succeeded.
While the State of the Union dispute centered on immigration, it revived these older arguments. Some conservatives claim the outburst fits a larger “anti-American” pattern, and some also repeat the anti-Semitism charge, even though Israel was not the focus of the speech. Omar has repeatedly denied anti-Semitic intent and says her criticism targets policy, not identity.
Democrats Push Back, Warning of Political Payback
Many Democrats have defended Omar and described the expulsion talk as partisan retaliation, especially against minority lawmakers. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) called the rhetoric “divisive and unhelpful” and urged lawmakers to focus on policy fights instead of personal attacks.
- Omar calls for scrutiny of the arrest: In a press release, Omar demanded an investigation into Rahman’s arrest. She described the response as heavy-handed and said it sends a chilling signal about democratic rights.
- Progressives rally around her: Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) posted support, arguing that pushing back on lies is part of democracy, not disrespect. Groups such as Justice Democrats echoed that message.
- What could come next: Republicans could try censure, which only needs a simple majority. That path looks more realistic than expulsion unless Democrats cross party lines. The episode also reflects a wider breakdown in House decorum, similar to Rep. Joe Wilson’s “You lie!” outburst during a 2009 address.
Political strategists say the fight may fire up both sides before the midterms. Republicans can use it to brand Democrats as extreme, while Democrats can use it to energize voters against what they see as racism and Islamophobia.
Can Congress Actually Expel Omar?
The Constitution gives each chamber power to discipline members under Article I, Section 5. Still, expulsion remains rare, and most rule violations lead to lesser penalties. Legal experts often note that while House rules demand order during major speeches, Congress typically reserves expulsion for the most serious cases.
- Past examples:
- 1861: The House expelled three members for supporting the Confederacy.
- 1980: Rep. Michael Myers was expelled after the Abscam bribery scandal.
- More recent attempts: Efforts to expel Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene in 2021 over inflammatory statements did not pass.
Free speech adds another layer of conflict. The First Amendment complicates any punishment tied to speech, although it does not give members unlimited freedom inside House proceedings. An ethics review is possible, but Omar’s allies also point to Trump’s own history of inflammatory language and call the outrage selective.
Social Media Erupts as Hashtags Take Over
The argument quickly moved online. #ExpelOmar trended on X (formerly Twitter) and drew millions of impressions as users posted clips, reactions, and calls for discipline. Conservatives praised Trump’s response, while progressives circulated Omar’s interview and defended her actions.
- Common reactions online:
- Pro-expulsion: Posts calling Omar an embarrassment and demanding removal.
- Anti-expulsion: Posts arguing that speaking up against power should not be treated as a crime, often using #StandWithOmar.
- In-between voices: Others urged both parties to cool it, saying civility in Congress keeps getting worse.
Polling after the address shows a wide partisan split. A Rasmussen survey reported that 52% of Republicans support expulsion, while 12% of Democrats agree. Independents landed in the middle, with 35% in favor.
What This Could Mean for Congress Next
As lawmakers review Rahman’s arrest and draft possible resolutions, the fallout could shape how Congress handles both guests and members during major events. Some lawmakers may push tougher enforcement, while others may resist, warning that stricter rules can turn into political weapons.
For Omar, one of the first Muslim women elected to Congress, the episode highlights the pressure minority members often face in high-profile fights. She has weathered past controversies, but continued attacks could still shape her 2026 campaign in Minnesota’s 5th District.
At a time when the country argues over immigration, protest, and political norms, this State of the Union clash shows how fragile trust has become. The coming weeks will likely bring more motions, more headlines, and more hard feelings, with little sign that either side plans to back down.
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CNN’s Harry Enten Calls the 2028 Democratic Primary a “Clown Car”
ATLANTA, Georgia – CNN data analyst Harry Enten delivered a blunt take on the early 2028 Democratic presidential primary. On air, he called the field a “downright clown car” and a “total mess.”
Early polling shows a tight pack, with no one breaking 25% and several names sitting within the margin of error. That sparked a lively discussion about whether Democrats are sliding into a fight between progressives and moderates, and what the rise of figures like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) and New York State Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani could mean for the party’s next era.
All of this lands at an uneasy moment for Democrats. The party is still dealing with the fallout from the 2024 losses, and many voters see no clear next leader. At the same time, Democrats are preparing for the 2026 midterms while facing a Republican Party energized under President Donald Trump. As a result, these early signs of a fractured primary could make unity harder when it matters most.
Polls Show a Crowded Race With No Breakout
Recent surveys suggest Democratic voters are spread out across the field. A Yahoo/YouGov poll from February 2025 showed a close contest among likely contenders:
- California Gov. Gavin Newsom leads at 19%, helped by his national profile and messaging on issues like climate change and abortion rights.
- Former Vice President Kamala Harris sits at 18%, backed by experience but followed by doubts tied to 2024.
- Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg pulls 13%, with support from many moderates drawn to his pragmatic style.
- Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) gets 12%, reflecting continued strength among progressives focused on economic justice and climate policy.
None of these candidates clears 25%, a level Enten pointed to as a common marker for an early front-runner. Because many polls carry a margin of error of around 3 to 4 points, the top tier looks more like a statistical tie than a settled race. In other words, Democratic voters haven’t rallied around a single option.
Other polling and commentary reinforce the same theme. CNN’s data team has also highlighted how unusual it is to see an open primary with no dominant figure at this stage. In past cycles, such as 2000, 2008, and 2016, big names like Al Gore and Hillary Clinton had built clearer leads by this point. This time, name recognition and money may not translate into early momentum.
Enten’s On-Air Take: “Total Mess”
On “CNN News Central” with host John Berman, Enten walked through the numbers and used sharp language to describe what he saw. “Yeah, they’re all running and this is just a downright clown car at this point on the Democratic side,” he said, pointing to how tightly packed the field is.
He also stressed how rare it is for no one to top 25% two years out. While Newsom held a small edge, Enten argued that Newsom also carries a “flailing” image, tied to California’s struggles with homelessness and high taxes. He added that Harris has “baggage” from her time as vice president, while Buttigieg and AOC signal very different paths for the party that could keep the base split.
Enten summed it up with another jab: “This is just a total clown car. It is a total mess. There is no clear frontrunner at this particular point on the Democratic side. Who the heck knows who the nominee is going to be in two years?”
The moment moved fast online. Clips spread on X (formerly Twitter), where both critics and supporters of the party debated what it said about Democratic strength. A post from a conservative account picked up traction, using the segment to mock Democratic disarray.
Panel Response: Jokes, Then Real Worry
The panel’s reaction mixed laughter with concern. Berman chuckled at the “clown car” line, then pushed the group to look at what the numbers might mean. Other guests offered different reads on the same data.
One panelist sounded upbeat, arguing that a wide-open field can boost interest and turnout. They framed it as normal competition that could pull in different groups of voters. Another guest saw danger ahead, warning that a long, bitter primary could drain money and time, while also turning off independents.
Soon, the conversation shifted to the party’s internal split. Moderates defended figures like Newsom and Buttigieg as safer bets in swing areas. Progressives pointed to AOC’s strength with younger voters and many voters of color. Even when the room laughed, the tension underneath was hard to miss.
Progressive vs. Moderate Split, and Why It Feels Bigger Now
Democrats have dealt with factions for decades, but the current divide looks sharper. Progressives want bigger moves on climate, health care, and wealth gaps. Moderates prefer smaller steps, arguing that bold messaging can backfire in close races.
Several pressure points keep coming up:
- Policy fights: Progressives push for major programs like Medicare for All, while moderates tend to support narrower changes.
- Electability arguments: Supporters of Buttigieg and other centrists say they can win swing voters. Critics say that the approach can fall flat with the base.
- 2026 primary battles: Progressive challengers are stepping into key races, which puts party splits on display. For example, Rep. Jasmine Crockett’s bid in Texas has drawn GOP attention, with Republicans claiming Democrats are “in shambles.”
Gallup has also tracked movement in Democratic attitudes. One recent Gallup poll found 45% of Democrats want the party to become more moderate, up from 34% in 2021. That shift shows the tug-of-war inside the coalition. If leaders can’t calm it down, the party could lose ground in 2026 and enter 2028 even weaker.
In a podcast episode titled “Can Liberals, Progressives & Moderates Unite to Beat Republicans in November , and 2028?”, guests discussed how fragile the coalition feels. Many agreed that costs and affordability unite Democrats, yet they disagree on the fix. Sen. Bernie Sanders, for instance, has argued for a class-first message focused on jobs, wages, and everyday costs, rather than culture fights.
Rising Names: AOC and Zohran Mamdani Point to a Shift
The growing profile of younger progressives like AOC and Zohran Mamdani signals a possible change in who drives the party’s future. AOC, now 38, has grown from a 2018 upset winner into a major national figure, boosted by strong media skills and a clear message on economics and climate.
Mamdani, a 34-year-old New York State Assembly member and democratic socialist, represents the next wave. First elected in 2020, he has backed policies like rent control, police reform, and Palestinian rights, and he has often challenged establishment Democrats. His rise also highlights the expanding influence of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) in some areas.
Together, they represent a bigger progressive push:
- Stronger pull with younger voters: They focus on issues such as student debt relief and environmental justice.
- More direct attacks on party power: Mamdani’s critiques of corporate influence echo themes AOC has used for years.
- More presence in the national talk: Their inclusion in polls shows progressives aren’t on the sidelines.
Still, critics argue this trend could push away swing voters. After the 2024 losses, some Democrats blamed progressive positions on topics like immigration and crime. Supporters answer that progressive candidates keep winning in many blue districts, and they see that as proof that the message works where turnout matters.
A Familiar Story, Even if the Stakes Feel New
Today’s clash fits a long pattern. Democrats have housed competing groups since the New Deal, with shifting alliances between liberals, moderates, and conservatives. The civil rights era broke the party’s old Southern power base, and later decades elevated more centrist leaders such as Bill Clinton.
More recently, the Obama years ended with a party split between Clinton-style pragmatism and Sanders-style populism. Democrats united behind Joe Biden in 2020, but that unity didn’t erase the underlying strain. After 2024, the arguments returned louder, and the lack of an incumbent for 2028 makes the power struggle even clearer.
A FiveThirtyEight analysis has noted that House Democrats now include roughly similar numbers of moderates and progressives. That balance could swing either way, depending on the next few elections. History also offers cautionary tales. For some Democrats, the 1972 McGovern campaign still stands as a warning about moving too far left and paying for it later.
What a Wide-Open Field Means for Party Leadership
A messy primary creates real risks. Without a clear leader, donors and endorsements can scatter. That can stretch the race out and leave the eventual nominee bruised. Party leaders, including DNC Chair Jaime Harrison, could face pressure to keep the contest from turning into a damaging brawl. Some also talk about changes like superdelegate rules or stronger party platforms, although those debates come with their own baggage.
At the same time, an open contest can help the party. A stronger nominee can emerge after real testing. Some Democrats see figures like Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro or Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly as possible unifiers. Progressives, on the other hand, argue Democrats need bolder economic plans to compete with Trump’s populist appeal, including an “abundance agenda” tied to housing and energy.
Some analysts, including voices at the American Enterprise Institute, warn the internal split could hurt Democrats in 2028 if it stays unresolved. One strategist summed up the moderate case this way: being moderate means taking popular positions and breaking with party habits when needed.
What Comes Next for Democrats
With the 2026 midterms approaching, Democrats need a clearer message and fewer internal fights. They also need to rebuild support with working-class voters, especially on costs, wages, and housing. The rise of AOC and Mamdani hints at a stronger leftward pull, while moderates keep warning that swing voters decide national elections.
Enten’s “clown car” line may stick because it captures the mood. Democrats face a hard reality: they can’t afford years of public infighting while Trump’s coalition stays energized. A truce, even a fragile one, may be the price of staying competitive.
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