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Rooting For Trump To Fail Has Made His Stock Shorters Millions

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AP - VOR News Image

The following information is from an article published by the Associated Press: Rarely has there been such a lucrative opportunity as betting on Donald Trump’s failure.

Despite significant buying activity from Trump supporters and volatile fluctuations that frequently coincide with the candidate’s current polling results, legal proceedings, and public statements on Truth Social, a tenacious group of primarily non-professional Wall Street investors have successfully earned millions of dollars in recent weeks by speculating that the stock price of Trump’s social media company, Truth Social, will continue to decline.

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AP – VOR News Image

Rooting For Trump To Fail Has Made His Stock Shorters Millions

Many of the interviewed investors, as reported by The Associated Press, claim that their pessimistic investments using “put” options and other trading instruments are motivated not by their personal opinions of the former president (most of whom do not hold a favorable view), but rather by their confidence in the dismal financial performance of a company that earned less money last year than the average Wendy’s hamburger franchise.

“This company is not profitable. … “It is illogical,” stated Elle Stange, an advertising executive from Boise, Idaho, who approximates that she has earned $1,300 by wagering against Trump Media & Technology shares. “He overestimates his abilities as a businessman.” Many of his ventures fail rapidly.

Jeff Cheung, an IT security professional in Seattle, is certain that this will eventually reach a value of zero.

By Friday morning, exactly one month after Trump Media’s IPO caused its stock to soar to $66.22, it had sharply declined to $38.49. According to an investigation by AP using data from research firms FactSet and S3 Partners, investors who use puts and engage in “short selling” have currently accumulated paper profits of at least $200 million. This figure does not consider the fees associated with puts, which can vary from one deal to another.

However, novice traders, who often only risk a few thousand dollars each, believe that the stock’s volatility makes it premature to claim success. Currently, they are capitalizing on their investments, allowing other bets to remain active, and discreetly observing the most recent fluctuations in stock prices in various locations such as their office cubicle, kitchen table, or even while using the toilet.

Other alarming occurrences have occurred, such as last week, when the stock ticker for the former president, DJT, suddenly increased by around 40% within a span of two days.

“I am uncertain about the future movement of the stock,” states Richard Persaud, a day trader from Schenectady, N.Y., as he checks his iPhone during the sudden increase in stock prices. “The current valuation is excessively inflated.”

Those who spoke with the AP perceived it as an additional political advantage to be aware that their bets resulted in a 50% decline in the value of Trump’s 65% investment. If any of their forecasts prove accurate, they may eventually reduce it to zero, rendering it difficult for him to utilize it to pay his substantial legal expenses or fund his Republican presidential campaign.

They still have a considerable distance to cover. The value of Trump’s interest remains at $4 billion.

Typically, investors anticipating a decline in a stock’s value, particularly a bold group of hedge fund traders known as “short sellers,” will conduct extensive research. They will thoroughly examine financial accounts, acquire specialized knowledge in a particular business, engage in discussions with competitors, and may even seek assistance from “forensic accountants” to uncover concealed vulnerabilities in financial records.

There is no requirement for Trump Media’s case. The corporation’s comprehensive 100-page financial report, which is situated in Sarasota, Florida, contains all the necessary information. The company incurred significant losses of $58 million in the previous year despite generating only $4 million in income from advertising and other sources.

According to the auditor’s assessment, the losses incurred by Trump Media are significant and cast doubt on its capacity to continue operating.

Is this a dream scenario for a short seller? Or is it a terrifying dream?

Manny Marotta, an inexperienced trader, has two computer screens at his house. One screen is used for business, while the other displays the movements of DJT stock, allowing him to assess his gains or losses.

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AP – VOR News Image

Rooting For Trump To Fail Has Made His Stock Shorters Millions

The situation appeared unfavorable early this week.

The legal writer from suburban Cleveland had earned a profit of approximately $4,000 on the purchase of “put” options made in the previous weeks. However, the television display that morning depicted investors, likely affluent individuals, purchasing substantial quantities of DJT shares, causing the stock to rise once more.

“The value of my options is decreasing with each passing minute,” remarks Marotta, further stating that DJT is being manipulated. “It’s absurd.”

Anticipating a decrease in stock value is particularly agonizing for “short sellers,” who incur a fee to borrow shares from other individuals. The concept is to promptly sell the items based on intuition and thereafter repurchase the same quantity at a significantly lower price prior to returning them to the lender. Short sellers are able to keep the profit they make from the difference after deducting a small fee.

In the instance of DJT, the charge is far from being modest.

At one point early this month, the annual cost reached 565%, which implies that short sellers would have only two months before any potential profits would be completely offset by fees, even if the company became worthless. According to data from Boston University’s Karl Diether and Wharton’s Itamar Drechsler, who have researched short selling over the past twenty years, just three other equities in recent memory have surpassed this exceptionally high rate.

If there is a significant increase in purchasing by Trump supporters who view it as a means of endorsing their candidate, the potential losses might rapidly escalate.

“It is alarming,” states Drechsler, who compares purchasers of Trump’s stock to steadfast sports enthusiasts. “It embodies all the characteristics that one would typically hope the stock market does not possess.”

According to Shannon Devine, a spokesperson for Trump Media, the company now possesses a substantial amount of $200 million in cash and has no outstanding debts. Devine also criticized the Associated Press (AP) for allegedly favoring those who openly oppose Donald Trump.

Seattle trader Cheung views DJT’s unusual traits as a motive to place a bet against the company rather than avoiding it. Once the lock-up period expires, the ex-president is expected to sell his shares, causing a significant decline in the market and price decline. Furthermore, suppose he chooses not to do so. In that case, other individuals with insider information whose lock-up periods are ending will be apprehensive that he would take action, prompting them to swiftly take advantage of the opportunity to sell at a favorable price before it declines.

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AP – VOR News Image

Rooting For Trump To Fail Has Made His Stock Shorters Millions

“The individual who sells out first will make the most profit,” Cheung asserts. “All individuals will engage in selling.”

However, he is taking measures to mitigate any financial losses by hedging some of his “put” wagers with the acquisition of “calls.” The latter are likewise financial instruments derived from an underlying asset, but they have an inverse relationship with the stock price, resulting in profits when the stock price increases. Cheung anticipates that regardless of whether the puts or the calls generate profits, he will earn sufficient returns from one to compensate for the loss incurred by the other.

If this appears excessively intricate, a more straightforward approach exists to generate profits by placing bets against Trump.

Offshore betting firms, which have designated President Joe Biden as the frontrunner for the 2024 election, are accepting 2024 election wagers.

SOURCE – (AP)

Kiara Grace is a staff writer at VORNews, a reputable online publication. Her writing focuses on technology trends, particularly in the realm of consumer electronics and software. With a keen eye for detail and a knack for breaking down complex topics. Kiara delivers insightful analyses that resonate with tech enthusiasts and casual readers alike. Her articles strike a balance between in-depth coverage and accessibility, making them a go-to resource for anyone seeking to stay informed about the latest innovations shaping our digital world.

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Man Creates Candy Cane Car to Spread Christmas Cheer

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Man Creates Candy Cane Car Spread Christmas Cheer
Clayman in his Grinch costume poses with his Candy Cane Car

In a delightful display of holiday spirit, a local resident in North Providence, Maine, has transformed his vehicle into a candy cane delight that is capturing hearts and spreading Christmas Cheer.

Over the past 15 years, Dave Clayman has transformed a simple 1991 Toyota Camry into a rolling holiday icon that captivates everyone who encounters it.

It’s wrapped in $3,000 worth of reflective tape, the same kind used on trailer trucks. Whether parked at a mall or cruising down the highway, you can’t miss it with its candy cane decorations.

This whimsical project started with an unusual idea. When an old exercise bike landed in Clayman’s possession, he mounted it on top of his car instead of letting it gather dust in his garage.

“There’s nothing like working out in the fresh air,” Dave said. That quirky addition quickly drew eyes, inspiring him to keep going.

The car features homemade rockets built from trash cans and salad bowls, candy cane-themed hubcaps, and candy cane lights dangling from the mounted exercise bike.

Man Creates Candy Cane Car Spread Christmas Cheer

The Candy Cane Car cost Clayman $3,000

To top it off, it boasts a PA system and a custom horn, making it a true sensory experience.

The candy cane car has now become a local landmark every Christmas. Parked outside Clayman’s house, it’s a favourite backdrop for people snapping photos or simply stopping to admire it.

Some visitors even share stories of seeing the car as a child, reminiscing about how it’s been a beloved part of their neighbourhood for years.

“When people see it, their mood amplifies,” Clayman explained. “If they’re happy, they become happier. If they’re upset, well, they sometimes get angrier.” But for the most part, he estimates that over 96% of people love the festive car, particularly around Christmas.

Clayman said he used to wear a Santa costume when riding in his festive car for years. A few years ago, he bought a Grinch costume and never looked back.

“It’s like a state of euphoria. Every time I get behind the wheel and people see it,” he said. “Anything that people are in a better mood, it seems to make you in a better mood. It’s a labor of love you got to be committed to it.”

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Senate Approves Social Security Fairness Act, Heads to Final Vote

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Kent Nishimura/Los Angeles Times/TNS

(VOR News) – On Wednesday, the United States Senate Social Security passed a measure with a vote of 73-27, indicating that the legislation, which is co-sponsored by Senator Susan Collins of Maine, is likely to be implemented before the end of the year.

The law may be beneficial to personnel working in the public sector in Maine, including teachers, firefighters, and other workers.

The Social Security Fairness Act would repeal two restrictions that lower the amount of Social Security payments paid to public employees.

These regulations would be eliminated with the passage of the act. A provision known as the Windfall Elimination Provision makes it impossible for public employees who are currently receiving pensions to continue receiving them.

The Government Pension Offset, as it is commonly referred to, is designed to limit the amount of money that can be paid to the surviving spouses of recipients who are also receiving government pensions.

This problematic situation impacts Social Security benefits.”

In November 2024, the Social Security Administration reported that more than 2 million individuals, including more than 20,000 in the state of Maine, had their Social Security benefits reduced as a result of the Windfall Elimination Provision,” Collins stated in a statement that was released by her department.

In November 2024, the Government Pension Offset had an impact on more than 650,000 individuals, with more than 6,000 of those individuals residing in the state of Maine, according to the previously mentioned line of reasoning.

A vote of 327 to 75 was necessary for the measure to be approved by the House of Representatives the previous month. On Wednesday, Chuck Schumer, the Democratic leader of the Senate, announced that he intended to work rapidly in order to deliver the act from the House of Representatives to the president’s desk.

As indicated by Schumer, who was speaking on the floor of the United States Senate today, “Passing this Social Security fix right before Christmas would be a great gift for our retired firefighters, police officers, postal workers, teachers, and others who have contributed to Social Security for years but are now being penalised because of their time spent serving the public.”

In the beginning, the measure was supported by two individuals: Sherrod Brown, a Democrat from Ohio, and Collins, a Republican. During her speech in support of the proposal, which was made on the floor of the Senate on Wednesday afternoon, Collins stated that the idea will have a significant impact on a number of individuals, including teachers in the state of Maine.

These advantages are the direct result of the effort that they put forth. During the course of her remarks, Collins asserted that the punishment in question was both unreasonable and unacceptable.

This will strain Social Security’s already shaky budget.

In a recent examination, it was discovered that the Windfall Elimination Provision was one of the primary problems that contributed to the difficulties that the teacher workforce in Maine is experiencing, which experts are referring to as a crisis.

A poll that was conducted and released by the non-profit organisation Educate Maine found that teachers in each and every county in the state of Maine identified the provision as a hindering factor in the process of recruiting new teachers.

According to the findings of the study, “this federal policy that reduces social security payouts is a disincentive,” which implies that it is detrimental to teachers who take on additional work and discourages people from switching careers in order to become teachers.

Sharon Gallant, a retired educator who worked in Gardiner for a total of 31 years, is one of the educators that are now employed there. Prior to beginning his career as a teacher in the public school system, Gallant was employed in the business sector. He made a little contribution to the Social Security system during the entirety of this time period.

“When you move into public education, you are faced with a certain degree of punishment,” according to her statement.

In letters that Gallant sent to Collins and to Sen. Angus King of Maine, who is an independent, he urged both of them to support the concept. She stated that even if it is unsuccessful, Maine will still have a difficult time recruiting teachers because of the clause that deters them from employment.

She made the observation, “If this does not pass, then it is just another reason not to enter public service.”

SOURCE: FR

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The Federal Reserve Will Drop Key Rates, But Consumers May Not Gain Immediately.

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(VOR News) – If the Federal Reserve indicates on Wednesday that interest rate reductions will proceed more gradually next year than in recent months, the United States may experience only slight alleviation from the persistently elevated costs of borrowing for credit cards, auto loans, and mortgages.

The Federal Reserve is set to announce a quarter-point reduction in its benchmark rate, anticipated to decrease from around 4.6% to approximately 4.3%.

This represents the latest action undertaken, subsequent to a quarter-point cut in interest rates in November and a larger-than-usual half-point reduction in September.

The Wednesday meeting may mark a new era for the Federal Reserve.

The Federal Reserve is more inclined to adjust its monetary policy at alternate meetings, rather than at each meeting. The central bank policymakers may announce that they now expect to reduce their primary rate only two or three times in 2025, instead of the four reductions previously planned three months ago.

The Federal Reserve has utilised the rationale of a “recalibration” of ultra-high interest rates, originally aimed at curbing inflation that peaked at a four-decade high in 2022, to defend its measures thus far.

A considerable number of Federal Reserve officials contend that interest rates should not remain as elevated as they currently are, given the substantial decline in inflation. The Federal Reserve’s chosen index shows that inflation was 2.3% in October, a notable decline from the peak of 7.2% in June 2022.

Conversely, despite the swift economic growth, inflation has consistently exceeded the Federal Reserve’s 2% target for several months. The monthly retail sales statistics released by the government on Tuesday reveals that Americans, especially those with higher incomes, are inclined to spend liberally.

These trends, as per the views of several economists, suggest that further rate decreases could unduly stimulate the economy, perhaps leading to sustained high inflation.

The incoming president, Donald Trump, has advocated reducing taxes on overtime income, tips, and Social Security benefits, along with diminishing regulations in these domains.

When combined, these Federal Reserve practices can advance progress.

Alongside the threat of imposing various tariffs, President Trump has pledged to execute extensive deportations of migrants, both of which could exacerbate inflation.

Chair Jerome Powell and other Federal Reserve officials have indicated that they cannot assess the potential effects of President-elect Trump’s policies on the economy or their own interest rate decisions until further information is available and the likelihood of the proposed initiatives being enacted becomes clearer.

Consequently, the result of the presidential election has predominantly led to heightened economic uncertainty up to that point.

It seems improbable that the United States would soon experience the advantages of significantly reduced loan interest rates. As of last week, the average rate for a 30-year mortgage was 6.6%, lower than the top rate of 7.8% recorded in October 2023, according to Freddie Mac.

It is quite unlikely that mortgage rates of approximately three percent, which were common for nearly a decade prior to the onset of the pandemic, would be restored in the foreseeable future.

Federal Reserve officials have indicated a deceleration in interest rate reductions as the benchmark rate nears what policymakers designate as a “neutral” rate, a one that provides neither advantages nor disadvantages to the economy.

During a recent meeting, Powell stated, “Inflation is slightly elevated, and growth is unequivocally stronger than we anticipated.” Nevertheless, the positive aspect is that we can afford to use greater caution while we persist in our pursuit of neutrality.

Most other central banks globally are likewise lowering their benchmark interest rates. This week, the European Central Bank lowered its benchmark interest rate for the fourth time this year, from 3.25% to 3%.

This action was taken in reaction to the decline of inflation in the 20 euro-using countries, which has fallen to 2.3% from a peak of 10.6% in late 2022.

SOURCE: AP

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