A Trump Presidency Spells Disaster for Trudeau

On Wednesday, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau congratulated Donald Trump on his successful reconquest of the U.S. presidency.

“The partnership between the United States and Canada is the most successful in the world.” A shared history, common values, and steadfast ties between our peoples unite us as neighbors and companions. Trudeau also stated that our economies are profoundly interconnected and are each other’s largest trade partners.

“We look forward to working with President-elect Trump and his administration, including on issues such as trade, investment, and continental peace and security,” he said.

Trudeau later told reporters on Parliament Hill that Trump won a “decisive” victory in Tuesday’s presidential election. He emphasized that Canada’s responsibility is to establish common ground with the incoming president, as Trump does not support Trudeau’s climate or immigration policies.

Trudeau fears Trump

However, in January of the previous year, Trudeau stated that Canada would face significant challenges if Trump were to secure a second term. “It was challenging the first time, and it will be challenging again if there is a second time,” stated Trudeau.

Donald Trump’s victory gives him the authority to advance an agenda heavily reliant on protectionist policies. This could potentially significantly impact long-standing allies such as Canada.

Trump has pledged to impose tariffs on all imports, which experts say would result in a billion-dollar reduction in Canada’s GDP.

Trump has pledged to impose a minimum 10% tariff on all imports and an even higher rate of 60% on Chinese-made products, although he has not disclosed numerous specifics regarding this proposed regime.

He has stated that imposing a punitive tax on foreign goods will reduce the competitiveness of products abroad and encourage domestic manufacturing. Additionally, he has proposed using tariffs to extract trade and other concessions from countries he accuses of defrauding the United States.

High-profile tensions, particularly about ideological conflicts and trade disputes, were notably evident in Donald Trump’s relationship with Justin Trudeau during his former presidency.

During his flight to Singapore in 2018, Trump abruptly withdrew the United States from the G7’s joint communique and referred to Trudeau as “very dishonest and weak.”

In 2019, Trump and Trudeau were again at variance during a NATO Summit in London. Trudeau was captured on video appearing to discuss Trump’s unpredictable behavior with other world leaders.

Trump responded by labeling Trudeau “two-faced” and criticizing Canada for failing to meet NATO’s 2% defense expenditure objective. He characterized Trudeau as a “nice guy” but expressed dissatisfaction with Canada’s contributions.

Economic Disaster

Despite Trump’s absence from office, the disparities persisted. In a 2023 interview, Trudeau drew comparisons between the “Make America Great Again” movement of Trump and the Conservative leaders in Canada, implying that there is a possibility of a reduction in rights related to LGBTQ and abortion.

He expressed apprehensions regarding a populist surge, asserting that “The threat is real,” and cited Trump’s policies as examples of a “regression” in democratic values.

Trump, on the other hand, referred to Trudeau as a “far-left lunatic” and supported the freedom convoy that was protesting the Canadian government’s anti-vaccine mandate.

“The Freedom Convoy is peacefully protesting the harsh policies of far-left lunatic Justin Trudeau, who has destroyed Canada with insane Covid mandates,” stated Trump.

Trump’s victory adds to Trudeau’s woes when polls show he would likely lose to his Conservative opponent in an election that must be held within a year.

In diplomatic disputes with China and India that have impeded efforts to diversify trade, Canada’s declining economy and a rapid increase in the cost of living over the past few years are the primary campaign issues.

Analysts at Desjardins Economics anticipate that Donald Trump’s policies will lead to a 1.7% decline in the real Canadian gross domestic product by the end of 2028, compared with those of a Democratic president.

According to the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, President Trump’s proposed 10% tariff would result in a 0.9% annual decrease in Canada’s real income and a nearly 1% decrease in labor productivity.

The chamber stated that if other countries retaliated, real income would decrease by 1.5% annually, and labor productivity would decrease by nearly 1.6% annually, initiating a trade war.

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