Politics
Canada’s Liberal Party Facing Political Oblivion Under Justin Trudeau
More than a decade ago, Justin Trudeau seized a demoralized, strife-torn, third-place Liberal Party and transformed it into his own image, winning election after election. There are few voices of criticism within the Liberal party because the voices that do matter are all important because of him.
However, according to the most recent surveys, the Liberals are on track for not only defeat, but destruction in the next federal election. Even the most ardent Trudeau supporters must be starting to ponder if it’s time for a change at the top.
The Conservatives established a significant lead over the Liberals last summer and have maintained it ever since. That lead may potentially be increasing. Abacus Data’s weekend survey for the Toronto Star shows the Tories leading the Grits by 19 percentage points in the popular vote, 43% to 24%, with the NDP at 18%.
The Liberals are in third position in both the Prairies and British Columbia. The Conservatives have more than 50% support in Atlantic Canada and lead the Liberals by 14 points in Ontario. But here is the genuinely astonishing number: According to Abacus, the two parties are statistically deadlocked in Quebec, a historically liberal bastion, with the Bloc Québécois at 34%, the Conservatives at 26%, and the Liberals at 25%.
(The online survey of 2,398 adults was conducted from February 1 to 7, with a margin of error of plus or minus two percentage points, 19 times out of 20.)
Provincial sample sizes are modest, with a wider margin of error than the national total. That’s why the Léger poll released last week is so significant. An online survey of 1,032 Quebec voters released earlier this month found the Bloc Québécois at 29%, the Liberals at 28%, and the Conservatives at 24%.
Two surveys show the Conservatives competing with the Liberals in Quebec. What does this mean?
It implies that if an election were conducted tomorrow, the Liberals would lose the majority of their 24 seats in Atlantic Canada and at least some of their 34 seats in Quebec.
The Conservatives would significantly reduce Liberal strongholds in suburban Ontario and British Columbia, while the NDP may win seats from them in the downtowns. The prairies would remain a liberal desert.
Some Liberals feel Mr. Trudeau is the ideal leader to save the furniture, as the saying goes, and that even if he loses the next election, the Prime Minister will protect the Liberal base for a successor to build on. Those who believe that should reconsider.
The Liberals under Mr. Trudeau risk a historic defeat that could approach the disasters of 1958, 1984, or 2011. According to polling expert Philippe Fournier of 338Canada.com, the argument that there is still time to turn things around appears to be “naive wishful thinking.”
“The Conservatives already have their winning coalition of voters,” he wrote on Sunday. Barring anything terrible, that vote is now final.
So, is it time for Trudeau to step down? Voters seem to believe so.
Data Dive with Nik Nanos: The national mood is dour—good news for the Conservatives
According to Nik Nanos’ poll for The Globe and Mail, 46 percent of Canadians believe Mr. Trudeau has done a poor job as Liberal Leader, while 25% think he has done an exceptional job. When asked how the Liberals could improve their prospects of winning the next election, 39% said they should replace Mr. Trudeau. Only 3% thought the party’s best option was for him to remain.
(The hybrid phone and online poll of 1,114 adults took place between January 29 and 31, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points 19 times out of 20.)
One of the most significant responsibilities of a political leader is to leave their party in good standing for their successor. Stephen Harper not only reunited the conservative movement and gave nearly ten years of rule, but he also left the Conservative Party with strong finances and 99 seats in the House following his 2015 election defeat.
He has a responsibility to leave a strong Liberal Party to the next leader. He must honestly examine himself whether being at the party’s helm is the best way to guarantee that outcome. Most voters appear to have come to their own judgments.
Source: The Globe and Mail
Canada’s Household Debt Nears $3 Trillion Under Trudeau
Politics
Trudeau GST Tax Holiday to Cost Taxpayers $6.3 Billion
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced a two-month GST break on some purchases and a one-time $250 rebate for all Canadians earning less than $150,000. The proposed GST break would last from December 14 to February 15.
The Liberals said it would cover various things, including children’s clothing and shoes, toys, diapers, restaurant meals, and beer and wine. It also refers to real and artificial Christmas trees, snack foods and beverages, and video game systems.
The move will cost taxpayers almost $4.7 billion, and the GST exemption will cost an additional $1.6 billion, totaling $6.3 Billion.
The federal government is now running a significant deficit. This raises the question of who will have to foot the $6.3 billion bill for today’s one-time payments. The government will have to borrow the money, and future taxpayers must either repay it or service the additional debt perpetually.
Critics argue that the GST credit is a collection of terrible ideas that will do little to lift Canada out of the long-term economic rut in which our economy is stuck.
Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre responded Thursday to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s pledge of a “GST Holiday” for Canadians, calling it a “tax trick.”
Poilievre stated that the temporary exemption from the Goods and Services Tax on various ordinary commodities “would not make up for the permanent quadrupling carbon tax on heat, housing, food, and fuel.”
Bloc Québécois leader Yves-François Blanchet stated he is “against any idea of a prime minister who says, ‘I will give you money in order for you to consider voting for me.'”
According to the Canadian Federation of Independent Business, temporary sales tax holidays will only increase confusion and administrative burden for small business owners.
A temporary sales tax decrease would help boost demand in some industries, including restaurants, Canadians, and companies, which require sustainable tax relief during the slow post-holiday season.
The changes amid an inflation-driven affordability crisis have left many dissatisfied with the Trudeau government. A federal election is scheduled for before next October, although it might happen sooner if the minority government falls before then.
For months, the Conservatives have held a double-digit lead over the Liberals in public opinion polls, with Leader Pierre Poilievre promising to cut taxes and government spending to restore affordability.
High inflation has also pressured the Liberals to avoid proposing policies that would boost spending and raise fuel prices.
According to the Fraser Institute, The Trudeau government got one thing fundamentally right: Lowering the tax burden on Canadians has benefits. Unfortunately, the policy package it has proposed to deliver tax relief is completely wrong.
It lowers the incorrect taxes, moves taxes temporarily rather than lowering them, does little to improve economic incentives, and punishes future taxpayers. With the holiday season approaching, this attempt at a gift for Canadian taxpayers is the economic equivalent of a lump of coal in the stocking.
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Politics
Matt Gaetz Withdraws as Trump’s Pick for Attorney General
Congressman Matt Gaetz has withdrawn as President-elect Donald Trump’s candidate for Attorney General, citing concerns about a federal sex trafficking probe that cast doubt on his ability to be confirmed.
Gaetz resigned after failing to persuade the Senate to endorse his contentious candidacy. Shortly after Gaetz’s unexpected departure, the president-elect issued a statement applauding his former AG nominee’s choice to seek Senate confirmation.
“I greatly appreciate the recent efforts of Matt Gaetz in seeking approval to be Attorney General. He was doing very well but, at the same time, did not want to be a distraction for the Administration, for which he has much respect. Matt has a wonderful future, and I look forward to watching all the great things he will do!” the president-elect wrote on Truth Social.
Gaetz had earlier stated that he was retiring from his current seat in Congress and would not take the oath of office for the upcoming session, which begins in January. Now that he has withdrawn from consideration for AG, his future in Washington is uncertain.
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Politics
Eric Hovde Concedes The United States Senate Race To Tammy Baldwin.
(VOR News) – Eric Hovde, the Republican candidate for the United States Senate, has acknowledged that he was defeated by Tammy Baldwin, the Democratic candidate for the same seat on the ballot.
Baldwin acknowledged Hovde’s defeat and consented to it. Furthermore, he released a statement in which he contends that the election results are not only inaccurate, but also devoid of any factual foundation.
Eric Hovde experienced this two weeks after the election.
Baldwin emerged as the unofficial victor of the Senate campaign in Wisconsin, a race that was closely monitored by a significant number of individuals. Baldwin was awarded the title of victor on November 6th. Baldwin emerged victorious by a razor-thin margin.
According to the data provided by the Associated Press, Baldwin emerged victorious by a margin of 29,116 ballots, which is approximately equivalent to 0.9 percent of the total votes cast. Baldwin emerged victorious by a substantial margin, as indicated by the results.
Hovde issued his public apology subsequent to the conclusion of the canvassing of the results by the majority of county clerks throughout the state. This process will ultimately result in the results being recognized as official. Publication of Eric Hovde’s decision. Not only were the results announced at this time, but they were also proclaimed in an official capacity.
The exact phrase of the announcement, “Thank you for your support,” was included in a post by Eric Hovde on Monday and published on the social networking site X.
The public was notified of this announcement. The announcement was public on Monday. It has drawn a lot of attention. “It is time to begin moving on.”
In contrast, Eric Hovde’s film began with a somewhat less inclusive tone, which persisted throughout. He made this assumption without offering any evidence to back it up, and his claims that there were “many troubling issues” with absentee ballots tabulated late on election night were factually incorrect. His claims were not supported by empirical evidence.
His claims were unsupported by any proof. Not a single piece of evidence could possibly prove that his allegations were correct. He stated in the statement that “numerous supporters” had demanded that he challenge the election results. He acknowledged receiving the request.
Eric Hovde acknowledged receiving these demands.
In particular, Eric Hovde asserts, “However, a request for a recount would serve no purpose if it were not for a detailed review of all the ballots and their legitimacy, which will be difficult to obtain in the courts.”
Subsequently, you would recount the identical ballots, regardless of their authenticity. This is the reason, as elucidated in this article. This is the rationale for the current state of affairs.
Hovde and his campaign refrained from issuing any public statements subsequent to Baldwin’s disclosure that Eric Hovde had emerged victorious in the election, which transpired over a week after Baldwin’s initial announcement.
The previous week, he uploaded a video to social media platforms that expressed his “deeply concerned” sentiments regarding the election results in Milwaukee.
The election was conducted in Milwaukee. While the film was being screened, there was a discussion regarding the results of the election in Milwaukee. As the ballots were still being counted in the largest city in Wisconsin on the evening of the election, he expressed his “shock” at the sequence of events that had transpired.
Eric Hovde was emphasizing the occurrence of specific events.
In addition, he declared that ballots were still being tallied at the time of the election. Eric Hovde made this declaration during the voting period, while ballots were still being tabulated.
Baldwin’s team referenced her victory speech, which she delivered the week prior to the election, in response to a request for comment that was submitted on Monday.
In response to the campaign’s request, this action was implemented.
A representative of Baldwin’s team has verified that “Hovde has not called,” which is consistent with the information that was disclosed on Monday morning. The representative who provided these details has worked in a variety of capacities throughout their career.
SOURCE: WPR
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