Kamala Harris Surpasses Trump in Newest Post-DNC Survey

A recent poll conducted by USA TODAY and Suffolk University indicated that Democratic candidate Kamala Harris had surpassed Republican candidate Donald Trump by a margin of 48% to 43%.

There has been a significant eight-point reversal in the presidential campaign since late June, when President Trump had led President Joe Biden in the poll by about four points. The figures reflect this shift.

The slight advantage that the vice president had was fuelled by significant swings among a number of important demographic groups that have previously been essential for the Democrats.

These categories include young people, Hispanic voters, and Black voters. One of the most significant shifts is that a three-point lead that Trump had over Biden in June has become a 23-point advantage that Harris has over Trump in August. This is the case among those whose yearly earnings are less than $20,000.

She has been successful in accomplishing something that Biden was unable to achieve this year: she has led Trump. Her edge is within the margin of error for the study, and the poll was conducted after the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, which successfully boosted party morale.

The results, on the other hand, indicate that Harris is gaining momentum in the direction of the general election, which is about to begin, at least for the time being.

The margin of error for the survey of one thousand people who are likely to vote, which was conducted by landline and mobile from Sunday through Wednesday, is 3.1 percentage points, either positive or negative.

In light of the fact that the election is drawing near, the survey is now focussing on potential voters, while earlier surveys were conducted with registered voters. Should the results not be rounded as is normal, her advantage would be closer to four points than it would be to five, which would be 47.6%-43.3%.

‘Brat Summer’ and other focused appeals have been successful.

The results provide more evidence that the focused appeals that were made during the Democratic convention the previous week were successful.

“With the ‘Brat Summer’ of Kamala Harris emojis winding down, young people, persons of colour, and low-income households have swung dramatically towards the vice president,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Centre.

“This is a significant shift in support for the vice president.” “These same demographics were emphasised and woven together by numerous speakers at the convention.”

Among the most significant movements since June, all of which fall beyond the margin of error for the poll:

• At the same time, voters between the ages of 18 and 34 went from supporting Trump by 11 points to backing Harris by 13 points, with a vote count of 49%-36%.
• Over the course of the election, Hispanics, a demographic that the Republican party has been working to cultivate, went from backing Trump by two points to favoring Harris by sixteen points, 53%-37%.
• From backing Biden by 47 points to supporting Harris by 64 points, 76% to 12%, black voters, who have historically been one of the most significantly heavily Democratic constituencies, shifted their support for Harris.

Harris is now supported by those with lower incomes, 58%- 35%. Although she has not yet disclosed specific policy ideas, she has emphasized her dedication to the creation of an “opportunity economy” that would make housing more accessible and address the issue of price gouging within the food industry.

If I were to vote for a woman, I would be thrilled.

Voters of all shades have determined that the election has been altered. In the history of the United States, Harris is the first person of South Asian heritage and the first woman of color to be nominated for president by a major political party. Compared to Trump, the previous president, who is 78 years old, and Biden, who is 81, she is a generation younger at 59.

“I think people are cautiously optimistic that they are going to have a lot better chance with Harris than they would have had with Biden going head-to-head with Trump,” said Amy Hendrix, 46, of Fort Worth, Texas. “I think you could say that people are cautiously optimistic.” She was one of the people who participated in the survey and is an independent who supports the Democratic Party. “I’m very excited to vote for a woman, and that’s just the truth.”

Source: Usatoday