Election News
Who is ahead in Harris vs Trump 2024 Presidential Polls Right Now?
The Washington Post polling average shows that Kamala Harris‘ advantage in national surveys has increased to two percentage points against Trump. She is also increasing her lead in the Midwest, now leading Wisconsin by three points, Pennsylvania by two points, and Michigan by less than one point. While Donald Trump still leads in the Sun Belt states, Harris has dramatically narrowed the deficit.
Donald Trump currently leads in four of the seven battleground states, but will need to gain more to reach 270 electoral votes.
The Washington Post is compiling the best available national and state-level polling data and factoring in how citizens in each state voted in the previous two presidential elections to determine who voters presently favour in the presidential race.
Every state is within a standard polling error of 3.5 points and may go either way.
We’ll be updating our polling averages at least once a day. Remember, this is not a presidential forecast, but rather a snapshot of public opinion.
How have national polls evolved since January?
The national popular vote does not decide the presidential election, hence our polling averages rely mainly on state polls. However, national polls remain valuable for determining the overall state of the race. National surveys are more sensitive to changes in the broader environment than state-level polls, and our polling averages rely on them, particularly in states with limited high-quality polling. Here’s how the presidential race has evolved in national polls since January.
The polls may underestimate Harris’ or Trump’s support.
A polling average is the best way to grasp the current situation of a presidential campaign, but as prior election cycles have shown, polls are not always accurate. Consider the impact of polling errors in the last three presidential elections on our 2024 polling average.
The economy might grow better—or worse.
The economy, in addition to the candidates’ names, is one of the most important elements that could influence poll results.
This is one of the most critical concerns for voters this year. Previous elections have shown that as the economy improves, incumbent party candidates, such as Harris, perform better. If the economy worsens, the challenger—in this case, Trump—fares better. (We’re focussing on two factors: consumer sentiment, or how optimistic people are about the economy, and GDP growth per capita, or how fast the economy is rising.)
These forecasts, however, are subject to some uncertainty because to the numerous ways in which the economy could alter. However, as we approach closer to Election Day, the uncertainty in our estimates will decrease.
Election News
Democrats Now Leaderless After Trump Presidential Win
Democrats spent billions of dollars with the legacy media to try and create fear among American voters that Donald Trump posed an imminent threat to democracy; in the end, voters didn’t care. They chose to believe their own eyes and not the rhetoric.
Following Kamala Harris’ decisive loss, the Democrats are now entering a second Trump presidency without a clear leader, a clear plan, or an accord on the reasons for their significant miscalculations in the 2024 election.
Sen. Bernie Sanders, the Vermont independent and former Democratic primary candidate, had warned Harris before Election Day that she was focusing too much on flipping Republican votes and not enough on pocketbook issues. He issued a statement excoriating party leadership.
“It should come as no great surprise that a Democratic Party which has abandoned working class people would find that the working class has abandoned them,” he said. “First, it was the white working class, and now it is Latino and Black workers as well.
While the Democratic leadership defends the status quo, the American people are angry and want change. And they’re right.”
Trump’s promises to impose tariffs on both allies and foes and his threats to American businesses contemplating the relocation of jobs offshore were alluring to union workers.
Alexandra Rojas, the executive director of the far-left Justice Democrats, told AP that the party’s leadership must “accept responsibility for that a second”Donald Trump presidency was once again feasible under their supervision.”
Rojas charged that the Democratic Party is los”ng legitimacy among the everyday people and marginalized communities, who are continuously used as stepping stones to win elections. She also acknowledged that “there are no easy answers for where we as a coun”ry and movement go from here.”
The data indicates that Democrats have” substantial work to do.
Faiz Shakir, the Democratic strategist who oversaw Sanders’ 2020 presidential campaign, is concerned that Sanders’s Democratic Party will fail to engage in the necessary introspection after this catastrophic defeat.
He asserted that “a healthy party is challenging itself to conduct”that type of autopsy and hear what we did wrong.” “I am not even aware that such a process will occur. He asks, “Will the Democratic Party’s well-paid consultant and big-money interParty learn any real lessons from this disastrous campaign?”
“Will they comprehend the political alienation and pain that tens of millions of Americans are currently experiencing?” Do they have any suggestions for how we can confront the Oligarchy, which is gaining economic and political influence at an accelerated pace? It is unlikely, he said.
Source: AP
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Election News
Kamala Concession Speech Trends on Google
One day after former President Donald Trump’s historic re-election, Vice President Kamala Harris conceded the presidential race and vowed to maintain unity. Her concession speech trended on Google with over 5 million searches.
“I do not concede the fight that fueled this campaign, but I do concede this election.” She stated, “In our nation, we owe loyalty not to a president or a party, but to the Constitution of the United States.”
Kamala Harris acknowledged that there was no viable strategy for obtaining the presidency even though her speech was not what she intended.
In the center of Washington, DC, Harris delivered a speech at her alma mater, Howard University. Harris expressed her gratitude to the hundreds of campaign workers and volunteers who worked assiduously on her campaign and to the tens of millions of voters who cast their votes for her.
Kamala Harris also stated that the country should unite for a peaceful power transfer despite the agony of losing.
She said, “We must acknowledge the outcomes of this election.” “I conversed with President-elect Trump earlier today and congratulated him on his victory.”
I also informed him that we would assist him and his team during his transition and participate in a peaceful transfer of power.
In the interim, Sen. Bernie Sanders issued a caustic statement regarding the presidential election results, accusing the Democratic Party of having “abandoned” working-class voters. It’s unsurprising that “a Democratic Party that has abandoned working class people would find that the working class has abandoned them.”
Sanders, who secured re-election last night, stated that the party’s white working-class voters were the first to quit and that it now appears that Latino and Black workers are following suit. “The American people are enraged and desire change despite the Democratic leadership’s defense of the status quo,” he stated. “And they’re right.”
Trump and Vance were also congratulated on their electoral victory by former President Obama, who ardently campaigned for Harris in the final stretch before Election Day. This was announced in a statement published today.
“This is obviously not the outcome we had hoped for, given our profound disagreements with the Republican ticket on a whole host of issues,” according to him. “But living in a democracy is about recognizing that our point of view won’t always win out, and being willing to accept the peaceful transfer of power.”
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Election News
Despite All the Odds Donald Trump Elected 47th President
On Wednesday, Donald Trump was elected the 47th president of the United States, a remarkable turnaround for a former president who refused to concede defeat four years ago.
Trump achieved the 270 electoral votes required to secure the presidency with a victory in Wisconsin. On Wednesday afternoon, he emerged victorious in Michigan, conquering the “blue wall” with Pennsylvania.
On Wednesday afternoon, Vice President Kamala Harris contacted President-Elect Trump to congratulate her and acknowledge his victory in the election. Shortly thereafter, Vice President Biden conversed with Trump to extend his congratulations and invitation to the White House.
Foreign leaders like French President Emmanuel Macron and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu also phoned Trump.
“I would like to express my gratitude to the American people for the extraordinary honor of being elected as your 47th and 45th president,” Trump addressed a crowd of enthusiastic supporters in Florida before officially confirming their victory.
“Today, you demonstrated unprecedented attendance to secure a victory, and we have endured an immense amount of hardship together,” Trump said. This was truly exceptional, and we will repay you,” he added.
Upon his return to office, Trump will collaborate with a Senate that is now under Republican control, while the House’s governance remains uncertain.
Elon Musk’s Tesla, banks, cryptocurrencies, and the U.S. stock market all surged Wednesday as investors anticipated a smooth election and Trump’s return to the White House.
Trump has pledged to implement an agenda that prioritizes the substantial revamping of the federal government during his second term.
When Trump assumes office on January 20, he will face various challenges, such as global crises testing America’s influence abroad and heightened political polarization.
Trump has pledged to revolutionize nearly every facet of the American government. This encompasses the intention to initiate the most extensive deportation operation in the nation’s history, once more pursue a zero-sum approach to foreign policy, and increase the use of tariffs.
Upon his arrival in Washington in 2017, Trump was unfamiliar with the mechanisms of federal authority. Congress, the judiciary, and senior staff members who acted as guardrails impeded his agenda.
This time, Trump has declared that he will surround himself with allies who will execute his agenda without question and arrive with hundreds of proposed executive orders, legislative proposals, and in-depth policy papers.
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