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ECB Reduces Rates Once Again, Maintaining The Possibility Of Additional Reductions.
(VOR News) – Due to domestic political unpredictability and the possibility of a new trade war between the ECB United States and Europe, the European Central Bank (ECB) lowered interest rates for the fourth time this year on Thursday, by a quarter of a percentage point. The ECB also indicated that there is a possibility of further reductions in interest rates.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has been executing a strategy of easing in response to the fact that concerns regarding inflation have been mostly addressed.
Interest rate cuts from the ECB may help a falling economy.
The deposit rate at the European Central Bank (ECB) has been lowered from 3.25 percent to three percent in anticipation of the fact that inflation will return to its target level of two percent in the early years of 2025 and that GDP will continue to be weak.
In addition to this, it amended its advise, which is anticipated to be seen as a sign that rate reductions are on the horizon.
A statement made by Christine Lagarde, the President of the European Central Bank, during a press conference stated that “the disinflation process is progressing effectively.” After the year 2025, we will have reached a rate of 2%.
In an interview with the journal, Holzmann of the European Central Bank stated that a drop of 25 basis points is possible, but that no more reductions are anticipated.
The European Central Bank (ECB) had previously withdrawn its former pledge to uphold a policy that was “sufficiently restrictive.” This was stated in a policy statement that was issued in the past. This removal represented a return to a neutral posture, which implies that it does not either encourage or inhibit growth.
The strength of this signal, on the other hand, was substantially lower than what many experts had anticipated, particularly when taking into consideration the accompanying caution that domestic inflation continues to be elevated.
The head EMEA Economist at S&P Global Ratings, Sylvain Broyer, is quoted as saying that “The European Central Bank (ECB) must respond and accelerate the rate of reductions.” Broyer made the statement that “a commitment to consecutively reduce rates until the deposit rate attains neutrality is necessary.”
Despite the fact that defining the “neutral rate” might be difficult, the majority of policymakers believe that it typically falls somewhere between 2% and 2.5%. When this is taken into consideration, it appears that the European Central Bank will most likely reduce interest rates before it reaches its goal.
Lagarde stated that “there were some discussions” regarding a reduction of fifty basis points; however, she pointed out that the majority of people were in favour of a reduction of twenty-five basis points.
A significant number of experts acknowledged that a more substantial decrease would also be necessary due to the poor GDP outlook and quickly decreasing inflation. This was despite the fact that nearly all observers anticipated that action would take place on Thursday.
The Swiss National Bank unanticipatedly reduced its key rate by fifty basis points earlier today, resulting in a benchmark rate of 0.5 percent.
This development by ECB occurred earlier today.
In light of the fact that Europe is currently experiencing political unrest, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) suggests that geopolitical issues, such as the trade policies of the United States, may lead to a reduction in economic development.
An increasing number of European Central Bank policymakers acknowledged the growing risks of decreased GDP and inflation in the days leading up to the meeting, notwithstanding the fact that no ECB policymaker specifically backed a fifty basis point cut.
The European Central Bank (ECB) made economic estimates that were influenced by these apprehensions. These projections indicated that growth would be substantially lower than the already reduced forecasts, and that a recovery would be both shallow and delayed.
As a result of Germany’s preparations for an early election, France’s struggles to build a stable government, and the expected imposition of punitive tariffs by the next president of the United States, Donald Trump, the downside risks are enormous.
It is possible that trade frictions might hinder GDP, according to Lagarde’s theory; but, it is also possible that overarching geopolitical developments could lead to high inflationary pressures.
SOURCE: BR
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Man Creates Candy Cane Car to Spread Christmas Cheer
In a delightful display of holiday spirit, a local resident in North Providence, Maine, has transformed his vehicle into a candy cane delight that is capturing hearts and spreading Christmas Cheer.
Over the past 15 years, Dave Clayman has transformed a simple 1991 Toyota Camry into a rolling holiday icon that captivates everyone who encounters it.
It’s wrapped in $3,000 worth of reflective tape, the same kind used on trailer trucks. Whether parked at a mall or cruising down the highway, you can’t miss it with its candy cane decorations.
This whimsical project started with an unusual idea. When an old exercise bike landed in Clayman’s possession, he mounted it on top of his car instead of letting it gather dust in his garage.
“There’s nothing like working out in the fresh air,” Dave said. That quirky addition quickly drew eyes, inspiring him to keep going.
The car features homemade rockets built from trash cans and salad bowls, candy cane-themed hubcaps, and candy cane lights dangling from the mounted exercise bike.
The Candy Cane Car cost Clayman $3,000
To top it off, it boasts a PA system and a custom horn, making it a true sensory experience.
The candy cane car has now become a local landmark every Christmas. Parked outside Clayman’s house, it’s a favourite backdrop for people snapping photos or simply stopping to admire it.
Some visitors even share stories of seeing the car as a child, reminiscing about how it’s been a beloved part of their neighbourhood for years.
“When people see it, their mood amplifies,” Clayman explained. “If they’re happy, they become happier. If they’re upset, well, they sometimes get angrier.” But for the most part, he estimates that over 96% of people love the festive car, particularly around Christmas.
Clayman said he used to wear a Santa costume when riding in his festive car for years. A few years ago, he bought a Grinch costume and never looked back.
“It’s like a state of euphoria. Every time I get behind the wheel and people see it,” he said. “Anything that people are in a better mood, it seems to make you in a better mood. It’s a labor of love you got to be committed to it.”
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Senate Approves Social Security Fairness Act, Heads to Final Vote
(VOR News) – On Wednesday, the United States Senate Social Security passed a measure with a vote of 73-27, indicating that the legislation, which is co-sponsored by Senator Susan Collins of Maine, is likely to be implemented before the end of the year.
The law may be beneficial to personnel working in the public sector in Maine, including teachers, firefighters, and other workers.
The Social Security Fairness Act would repeal two restrictions that lower the amount of Social Security payments paid to public employees.
These regulations would be eliminated with the passage of the act. A provision known as the Windfall Elimination Provision makes it impossible for public employees who are currently receiving pensions to continue receiving them.
The Government Pension Offset, as it is commonly referred to, is designed to limit the amount of money that can be paid to the surviving spouses of recipients who are also receiving government pensions.
This problematic situation impacts Social Security benefits.”
In November 2024, the Social Security Administration reported that more than 2 million individuals, including more than 20,000 in the state of Maine, had their Social Security benefits reduced as a result of the Windfall Elimination Provision,” Collins stated in a statement that was released by her department.
In November 2024, the Government Pension Offset had an impact on more than 650,000 individuals, with more than 6,000 of those individuals residing in the state of Maine, according to the previously mentioned line of reasoning.
A vote of 327 to 75 was necessary for the measure to be approved by the House of Representatives the previous month. On Wednesday, Chuck Schumer, the Democratic leader of the Senate, announced that he intended to work rapidly in order to deliver the act from the House of Representatives to the president’s desk.
As indicated by Schumer, who was speaking on the floor of the United States Senate today, “Passing this Social Security fix right before Christmas would be a great gift for our retired firefighters, police officers, postal workers, teachers, and others who have contributed to Social Security for years but are now being penalised because of their time spent serving the public.”
In the beginning, the measure was supported by two individuals: Sherrod Brown, a Democrat from Ohio, and Collins, a Republican. During her speech in support of the proposal, which was made on the floor of the Senate on Wednesday afternoon, Collins stated that the idea will have a significant impact on a number of individuals, including teachers in the state of Maine.
These advantages are the direct result of the effort that they put forth. During the course of her remarks, Collins asserted that the punishment in question was both unreasonable and unacceptable.
This will strain Social Security’s already shaky budget.
In a recent examination, it was discovered that the Windfall Elimination Provision was one of the primary problems that contributed to the difficulties that the teacher workforce in Maine is experiencing, which experts are referring to as a crisis.
A poll that was conducted and released by the non-profit organisation Educate Maine found that teachers in each and every county in the state of Maine identified the provision as a hindering factor in the process of recruiting new teachers.
According to the findings of the study, “this federal policy that reduces social security payouts is a disincentive,” which implies that it is detrimental to teachers who take on additional work and discourages people from switching careers in order to become teachers.
Sharon Gallant, a retired educator who worked in Gardiner for a total of 31 years, is one of the educators that are now employed there. Prior to beginning his career as a teacher in the public school system, Gallant was employed in the business sector. He made a little contribution to the Social Security system during the entirety of this time period.
“When you move into public education, you are faced with a certain degree of punishment,” according to her statement.
In letters that Gallant sent to Collins and to Sen. Angus King of Maine, who is an independent, he urged both of them to support the concept. She stated that even if it is unsuccessful, Maine will still have a difficult time recruiting teachers because of the clause that deters them from employment.
She made the observation, “If this does not pass, then it is just another reason not to enter public service.”
SOURCE: FR
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The Federal Reserve Will Drop Key Rates, But Consumers May Not Gain Immediately.
(VOR News) – If the Federal Reserve indicates on Wednesday that interest rate reductions will proceed more gradually next year than in recent months, the United States may experience only slight alleviation from the persistently elevated costs of borrowing for credit cards, auto loans, and mortgages.
The Federal Reserve is set to announce a quarter-point reduction in its benchmark rate, anticipated to decrease from around 4.6% to approximately 4.3%.
This represents the latest action undertaken, subsequent to a quarter-point cut in interest rates in November and a larger-than-usual half-point reduction in September.
The Wednesday meeting may mark a new era for the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve is more inclined to adjust its monetary policy at alternate meetings, rather than at each meeting. The central bank policymakers may announce that they now expect to reduce their primary rate only two or three times in 2025, instead of the four reductions previously planned three months ago.
The Federal Reserve has utilised the rationale of a “recalibration” of ultra-high interest rates, originally aimed at curbing inflation that peaked at a four-decade high in 2022, to defend its measures thus far.
A considerable number of Federal Reserve officials contend that interest rates should not remain as elevated as they currently are, given the substantial decline in inflation. The Federal Reserve’s chosen index shows that inflation was 2.3% in October, a notable decline from the peak of 7.2% in June 2022.
Conversely, despite the swift economic growth, inflation has consistently exceeded the Federal Reserve’s 2% target for several months. The monthly retail sales statistics released by the government on Tuesday reveals that Americans, especially those with higher incomes, are inclined to spend liberally.
These trends, as per the views of several economists, suggest that further rate decreases could unduly stimulate the economy, perhaps leading to sustained high inflation.
The incoming president, Donald Trump, has advocated reducing taxes on overtime income, tips, and Social Security benefits, along with diminishing regulations in these domains.
When combined, these Federal Reserve practices can advance progress.
Alongside the threat of imposing various tariffs, President Trump has pledged to execute extensive deportations of migrants, both of which could exacerbate inflation.
Chair Jerome Powell and other Federal Reserve officials have indicated that they cannot assess the potential effects of President-elect Trump’s policies on the economy or their own interest rate decisions until further information is available and the likelihood of the proposed initiatives being enacted becomes clearer.
Consequently, the result of the presidential election has predominantly led to heightened economic uncertainty up to that point.
It seems improbable that the United States would soon experience the advantages of significantly reduced loan interest rates. As of last week, the average rate for a 30-year mortgage was 6.6%, lower than the top rate of 7.8% recorded in October 2023, according to Freddie Mac.
It is quite unlikely that mortgage rates of approximately three percent, which were common for nearly a decade prior to the onset of the pandemic, would be restored in the foreseeable future.
Federal Reserve officials have indicated a deceleration in interest rate reductions as the benchmark rate nears what policymakers designate as a “neutral” rate, a one that provides neither advantages nor disadvantages to the economy.
During a recent meeting, Powell stated, “Inflation is slightly elevated, and growth is unequivocally stronger than we anticipated.” Nevertheless, the positive aspect is that we can afford to use greater caution while we persist in our pursuit of neutrality.
Most other central banks globally are likewise lowering their benchmark interest rates. This week, the European Central Bank lowered its benchmark interest rate for the fourth time this year, from 3.25% to 3%.
This action was taken in reaction to the decline of inflation in the 20 euro-using countries, which has fallen to 2.3% from a peak of 10.6% in late 2022.
SOURCE: AP
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