Election News
US Election Polls Who’s Leading in the Swing States
In less than 24 hours, voters in the United States will cast their ballots on Election Day, and the outcome of the presidential contest between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is still a toss-up, according to the most recent polling.
On Monday, Harris maintained a modest nationwide lead, but Trump maintained a slight advantage in some key swing states.
As a result, the presidential campaign is down to its final push on the eve of November 5. Harris will spend the entire day Monday in Pennsylvania, with the most electoral votes out of the states, and is expected to decide the outcome of the Electoral College.
Meanwhile, Trump plans to make four stops in North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. He will wind up in Grand Rapids, where he spent his first two seasons.
According to the polling site 270toWin, Harris led Trump by 1% (48.3% vs. 47.3%) based on an average of 22 polls, the most recent as of November 3. That lead falls well within the margin of error.
The last New York Times/Siena survey shows that Trump and Harris are virtually tied. According to the survey, Harris is gaining ground in North Carolina and Georgia, while Trump is increasing his lead in Pennsylvania and maintaining it in Arizona.
At the state level, Trump maintained an advantage over Harris in many battleground states that would determine the election outcome. According to 270toWin, polls released Monday showed him a tiny advantage in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
Harris led on Monday in Michigan and Wisconsin, according to 270 to Win.
A surprise new Iowa poll by J. Ann Selzer considered the “gold standard” pollster, finds Harris leading Trump by three points in the Hawkeye State.
Trump won Iowa easily in 2016 and 2020, and it is not one of the seven swing states that will decide this year’s election.
The poll is an aberration; an Emerson poll released Saturday had Trump up by 10 points in Iowa, but it does suggest that there may be some shocks on Tuesday. Selzer is well-known for previous surveys that correctly forecasted Trump’s 8-point lead over Joe Biden in Iowa in 2020 and his comfortable victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Swing state polls today.
Arizona Polls
According to 270toWin, an average of 15 surveys, the most recent of which was on November 3, showed Trump with a 1.6% lead over Harris. Arizona holds 11 electoral votes.
Georgia polls.
An average of 12 polls, the most recent on November 3, show Trump with a 1.2% advantage in Georgia, which holds 16 electoral votes.
Michigan polls.
An average of 20 polls, the latest November 3, show Harris a 1.5% advantage in Michigan. Michigan holds 15 electoral votes.
Nevada polls
An average of 13 surveys, the most recent on November 3, show Trump with a 0.6% advantage in Nevada, which has six electoral votes.
North Carolina Polls
An average of 15 polls, the most current on November 3, show Trump with a 1.2% advantage in North Carolina, Which holds 16 electoral votes.
Pennsylvania polls
An average of 22 surveys, the most recent on November 3, show Trump with a 0.1% lead in Pennsylvania, which holds 19 electoral votes.
Wisconsin Polls
According to an average of 14 surveys, the most recent on November 3, Harris has a 0.8% lead in Wisconsin, which has ten electoral votes.
270 to Win Election Map
Winning the 2024 presidential election will require 270 electoral votes. Click on the states on this interactive map to make your own 2024 election forecast. Create a custom match-up by clicking on the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter.
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Trump and Harris Tied In New 2024 Election Polls
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B.C. Election Results to Be Released on Monday
The 2024 B.C. election results remain undecided following the resumption of tallying on Saturday; however, newly released data from Elections B.C. indicates that the NDP is progressing.
The party has increased its advantage over the B.C. Conservatives in the Juan de Fuca-Malahat riding to 106 votes, up from 20. In Surrey City Centre, the party has increased its lead to 178 votes, up from 93. The NDP has also tightened the race in Surrey-Guildford, now trailing the Conservatives by only 12 ballots, as opposed to 103.
On Saturday, officials began counting the 65,000 absentee and mail-in ballots that had not yet been counted, and the updated statistics were released throughout the day. Sunday and Monday will witness the continuation of those tallies and numerous riding recounts.
Before Saturday, the B.C. NDP was either leading or elected in 46 seats; the B.C. Conservatives in 45 seats, and the B.C. Greens in two seats. 47 seats are necessary to establish a majority administration in the British Columbia Legislature.
The updated results did not result in flipped ridings; however, CBC News upgraded four ridings, with the NDP leading into projected victories and the Conservatives being led into a projected win.
The final tally will be finalized on Monday with the tallying of over 22,000 absentee ballots. On that day, Election B.C.’s website will update the results hourly. Any district with a margin of victory of 100 ballots or less is subject to an automatic recount. In close ridings, parties may also request a recount.
Trending News:
Trump and Harris Tied In New 2024 Polls
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Trump and Harris Tied In New 2024 Election Polls
The latest poll indicates that former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are in a dead-heat race for the White House. This is the third major national poll to find the two tied, rendering the race wildly unpredictable less than two weeks before Election Day.
The Emerson College Polling survey (October 23-24), published on Saturday, had a margin of error of 3, and the two candidates tied at 49%. This is the first time in Emerson’s weekly poll that Harris has not enjoyed a lead since August. One week earlier, Harris was leading 49% to 48%.
Siena Trump Harris Poll
In the Times/Siena poll released on Friday, Trump and Harris are 48% among likely voters (margin of error 2.2). The Times notes that these results are “not encouraging” for Harris, as Democrats have won the popular vote in recent elections despite losing the White House.
The poll indicates a decrease in Harris’s support since The Times’ previous poll in early October, which indicated that she had a 49%-46% lead over Trump. However, at least three surveys conducted within the past week have indicated that Trump has a slight advantage, and six others have found Harris to be in the lead.
Trump Harris CNN Poll
The CNN/SSRS poll released on Friday (margin of error 3.1) also shows that the candidates are dead even at 47%. This represents a downward trend for Harris, who led Trump 48% to 47% in the groups’ September survey. Before President Biden withdrew from the race, the poll found that Trump had 49% and Harris 46%.
CNBC Survey on Trump Harris
Trump’s lead in a CNBC survey of registered voters released on Thursday (margin of error 3.1) and a Wall Street Journal registered voter poll released on Wednesday (margin of error 2.5) has increased from 47% to 45% in August to 48% to 46%. This represents a significant shift in Trump’s favor since August when Harris held a 47% to 45% lead in a Journal survey.
Harris X/Forbes released a survey on Wednesday (margin of error 2.5) that indicates Trump is leading Harris by two points, 51% to 49%, among prospective voters nationwide, including those who are leaning toward one candidate. Additionally, Trump is ahead by one point, 49% to 48%, without leaners.
Several other recent polls have indicated that Harris is in the lead: In a Monmouth University poll of 802 registered voters, conducted from October 17-21 and released on Wednesday, Harris maintains a 47%-44% lead over Trump among respondents who indicated that they “definitely” or “probably” intended to vote for one of the candidates. 4% of respondents selected “other,” and 5% selected no candidate.
In an Economist/YouGov survey of likely voters, which was also released on Wednesday (margin of error 3), Harris is up by three points, 49% to 46%, when third-party candidates are on the ballot, and respondents are given the options of choosing “other,” “not sure,” or “would not vote.” This represents a one-point decrease in her lead from the group’s previous survey, conducted from October 12-15.
In Morning Consult’s weekly poll, which was released on Tuesday, Harris maintains a four-point advantage, 50% to 46%, consistent with the previous week’s results. However, this is a decrease from her 51%-45% lead in the two polls conducted before the previous week.
Since announcing her candidacy on July 21, Harris has eliminated Trump’s lead over President Joe Biden. However, according to Five Thirty-Eight’s weighted polling average, her advantage has marginally decreased over the past two months, reaching a high of 3.7 points in late August.
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Kamala Harris Has No Intentions Of Campaigning With Biden Before Election Day
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Beyoncé Endorses Kamala Harris In Joyful Speech At Houston Rally: ‘I’m Here As A Mother’
“I’m neither a star nor am I a politician. “I’m here as a mother,” Beyoncé stated during a campaign rally for Kamala Harris.
“A mother who cares deeply about the world my children and all of our children live in, a world where we have the freedom to control our bodies, a world where we’re not divided,” she said during a Houston rally Friday night.
“Imagine our daughters growing up seeing what’s possible with no ceilings, no limitations,” she said. We must vote, and we need you.”
Finally, Beyoncé, joined onstage by her Destiny’s Child bandmate Kelly Rowland, presented Harris. “Ladies and gentlemen, please give a big, loud, Texas welcome to the next president of the United States, Vice President Kamala Harris,” she told the crowd.
She did not perform like she did in 2016 at Hilary Clinton’s presidential campaign rally in Cleveland.
Beyoncé Endorses Kamala Harris In Joyful Speech At Houston Rally: ‘I’m Here As A Mother’
Houston is Beyoncé’s hometown, and Harris’ presidential campaign has chosen “Freedom,” a single from her groundbreaking 2016 album Lemonade, as its theme song.
Harris performed the song in July, during her first official public appearance as a presidential contender at her campaign headquarters in Delaware. That same month, Beyoncé’s mother, Tina Knowles publicly supported Harris for president.
Beyoncé permitted Harris to use the song, according to a campaign staffer who spoke with The Associated Press on condition of anonymity to discuss internal campaign procedures.
“Freedom” appears in the second part of “Lemonade” and samples two John and Alan Lomax field recordings. The recordings depict Jim Crow-era folk spirituals of Southern Black churches and work songs of Black convicts from 1959 and 1948, respectively. The film also features Kendrick Lamar, the Pulitzer Prize winner.
Beyoncé Endorses Kamala Harris In Joyful Speech At Houston Rally: ‘I’m Here As A Mother’
According to Kinitra D. Brooks, an academic and author of “The Lemonade Reader,” the song “‘Freedom” is significant because it demonstrates that freedom is not free. The freedom to be yourself, the political freedom… it’s the belief that you must struggle for freedom and that it is attainable.”
Since abortion restrictions were imposed in Texas, the state’s infant death rate has climbed, more babies have died from birth abnormalities, and maternal mortality has risen.
SOURCE | AP
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